Chapter ( 8 )

Will the Arab coalition rescue Bush ? Rice comes and goes and Chini comes and goes to the region with one or two messages ; to save their skin from this dilemma in Iraq or to cover their back when they had to pull out . the Arab leaders had many reasons not to rescue him . First, the Arabs didn't owe anything to him to give him back in a rainy day . He obstinately refused to do anything to calm down the Arab world revolution against the complete American biased policy towards Israel when they wage ferocious wars against the Lebanese and Palestinian peoples ; that what embarrassed the Arab coalition and increases their isolation before their furious peoples . He took the decision of conquering Iraq bearing in mind a" menace " remaining in ruling their countries and their chairs .He didn't hide his goal in menacing his nearest allied , but he declared that openly while preparing his conquest when talking desperately about Iraq as a " model of democracy " to all the countries of the area . Bush repeated this menace bluntly through his secretary of state who launched the slogan of the " Great Middle East" "and the creating chaos " Rice explained this slogan , she said US is against the status quo that means to let those rulers to rule if the substitute is chaos .

The second reason is that Bush wants to join the allied Arabs with a terrible stupid strategy ; similar to suicide . He wants them to support his new security plan in Iraq on the long run and if it comes to a failure and obliged to pull out or deploying his troops in other places . He wanted them to play a direct military political role in Iraq as a substitute to the American forces , also he wants to draw them to cold or hot war against Iran ; propagating naively about a strife between the Sunnis and the Shiite or a conflict between the Arabs and the Persians .

The Arabs must defend their strategic and politic interests in Iraq. Dashing to confront politically and militarily with Iran represents a real disaster to the area or a swamp not less than the calamity which the Americans themselves face in this afflicted area .

If the Arab leaders induced to open a great conflict with Iran as Saddam Hussein did before , they won't be able to close it easily and that will make their countries and peoples bleed for a long time without having a realistic clear goal worthy of unlimited sacrifices this decision will have the power to kill three times : waging a war against Iran and in the inside of Iraq and with the public opinion . the people will be astonished , approaching with Israel which is occupying Arabic territories ; while the Arab leaders organizing hostility with Iran which is calling for the liberation of these territories . there is no a sane person who can afford paying such an expensive taxation to save Bush from his collapse in Iraq or with Iran .

Some Arab experts analyze that the scales of the understanding with Iran is greater for many reasons . there are endless civilized and religious bonds between the Arabs and Iran . Understanding with Iran strengthens the strategic and politic position of the Arabs and the Iranians . the other world will treat them in respectable way . this constructive understanding with Iran will enable the Arab leaders to improve their position with the US itself . they won't need America to protect them against strong regional opponent and they will be able to negotiate with the Us by themselves and the rest of the world power to build up an effective system of fair peace in the area .

Of course , these are day dreams and will never come true because Iran looks at the Arabs from a superior view . Iran wants to replace the American sovereignty.

There is another reason for the Arabs not to rescue Bush . He is leaving the White House, no way ; nobody in America sympathies with him because they realized he was the reason of their surprising dilemma in Iraq and he put a nail in the coffin of the American mono sovereignty in the area and in the whole world . the only rational choice before the Arab leaders not to rescue Bush but to rescue the area from Chaos , injustice and extremism . this is a tough dream to realize to love each other and co- operate together . that will take a long time to be true .

In Iraq El Sadr appeared after a long time in exile in Iran . He was terribly afraid to be killed by the Americans . He was considered their great problem in Iraq -- in El Kofa mosque . He assured his old demands ; the Americans forces have to go away . .He believed that the US planted the disputes and the vendetta in Iraq and divided it into Sunnis and Shiites .He skipped over his old demand which was about defining a time schedule for the pull out . . the younger leader – 33 years old – who turned out to be the strongest effective character on the Iraqi stage itself . He is the only one who is able to make a real national reconciliation with the Sunnis . He asked his army El" Mahdi " ; which belonged to him , not to do harm to the Sunnis " our brothers " ; sharing the same home and religion ; because the Sunnis blood is illegal to the Shiite . He denied setting up the apartheid wall which separates the Sunnis of Azzamia from Shiite neighbors , although the Shiite militia were the most ferocious with the Sunnis in driving them away from their houses . Although , again the Americans ; who contributed in drawing the features of his old portrait ; are suspecting now in his potentials to control his military militia as they are suspecting his ability to unify Iraq under his leadership , yet El Sadr possesses all the possibilities which could make him a leader to this current : the armed forces which are considered to be the second in number after the US . Furthermore ; the political influence which is represented in a parliamentary mass , consisting of 30 senators which enabled Nory to outrun the popularity of the religious leader El Sistani who larked in a long silence without any intention to get out of it .

El Sadr is the only Shiite leader who refused the division of Iraq into semi isolated regions having autonomy , because Iraq needs a powerful central government . He supported the requests of changing the constitution , the equitable division for the fortunes and the power among the Kurdish , the Shiite and the Sunnis . For all these reasons his last call echoes strongly among the Sunnis in Iraq and they want to make Sunnis – Shiite coalition to preserve the unity in Iraq and cooperate to expel El Quaeda organization from the middle provinces ; although there is still a sort of anxiety about his character . the Americans put his hazard into consideration . they couldn't forget how he fought them in El Nagaf and showed great resistance in El Sadr Town . El Diwannia , one of the biggest town in El Quadissia province witnessed violent clashes between the militia of El Mahdi from one part and American – Iraqi security forces from another part ; where all kinds of little and middle weapons were used together with the American helicopters . Besides , he requested all his demands to be responded in return for releasing the British kidnapped . the main requests represented in stopping all the patrols of the British forces in the south of Basra . In addition to stopping assassination operations against the leaders of El Mahdi army and setting free all the detainees including Sheikh Abdul Hadi El Derabi ; El Sadr 's spokesman . He sent a personal envoy to the prime minister El Malki to inform him about the safety of the kidnapped .

The strategic research centers all over the world were expecting America to give Iran a military strike ; but it seems that the US has other calculations ; may be before the end of Bush's second term . America has to decide the success of the plan to impose law in Iraq or , else , the substitute will be the election of a democratic president in 2008 . As for Israel ; the complete report of Finograd will be published on July 2007 . Certainly there will be great demonstrations calling for the resignation of both Ulmert and Pyrites . It appeared that the latter was the scapegoat and the report was reasonable ; it didn't blame the prime minister ; moreover the substitute was Netanyahu who wasn't loved by anyone ; the risk will be great and unknown . It is said that Bush won't finish his second term unless he achieves something astonishing ; that is to punish Iran to come back to be obedient again . So , the only way out to America and Israel is to do a successful military action in Iran to restore the balance . there were many proceedings and calculating movements going in that direction . Two carriers in the Gulf as well as a nuclear submarine , a lot of warships " Kohl " on the shores of Lebanon . But may be Iran is lucky enough because America seems paralyzed owing to the economic recession , the dipping of dollars as well as the interest rate , the housing dilemma besides , the high expensive costs of the war in Iran and Afghanistan ; could America go to a third war in Iran , may be yes , may be not ?.

The Arabs don't take pity on Iran , but they take pity on Iraq . they remembered the similarities and the comparisons between the collapse of Baghdad on the hands of Hulaku in 1258 , Timor lank in 1400 . then the Turks in 1638 and the new collapse of Baghdad on the hands of the coalition troops on April 2003 . The Caliph El Mansor constructed Baghdad in the form of a circle and entitled it " the city of Salam " . the Arabs remember , particularly the scientific movement in the time of El Rashid , his son El Mammon and his famous library which was called " the House of Wisdom " . the cultural movement of Baghdad was fantastic in the middle ages as well as the cultural centers in Cairo , Damascus , El Quierawan in Tunisia , Cicely , Andalusia , in Cordoba , Granter and many other examples that when the Arab civilization flourished between the 7th century and the 13th century. These minerates enlightened the road of Renaissance after it was dark . The Arabs remembered the stolen historic monuments from the well – known Islamic museum and the precious manuscripts . They go back to history and remember the civilized cultural calamity which was not only in Baghdad , but there were other Iraqi cultural centers , like the two schools : El Kofa which was the capital of the Abbasids before the construction of Baghdad , besides , El Basra ; the birthplace of El Hassan El Basry and El Ashari which were burnt by El Zing in 871 , then El Karameta in 923. They were occupied by the Turks in 1668 , and the English in 1914 .

As a matter of fact, the Arabs don't sympathize with Iran who commit every day mistakes and provocative statements to America and Europe . Khamen'e believed that they won't beg their right to develop a nuclear technology . He claimed that America wages a psychological war against Iran . On the other hand Rice thought that Najat is digging a deep hole for his country . But she mollifies her fiery statement that president Bush said clearly he was behaving diplomatically concerning the opposition of the US to the nuclear ambitions of Iran . America intensified that Iran is getting the correct message from the Security council which imposed two series of sanctions in separate resolutions concerning its nuke programme- and from the whole world . the US didn't exclude the choice military work , but they assured there are no plans or intentions to attack Tehran . Chini is considered the most rigid in the American administration concerning Iran , he exhorted , onboard one of an American carrier in the Gulf - -- that Washington won't never ever allow Iran to possess nuke weapons or control the middle east , although he didn't advocate openly about utilizing military power against Iran . In the same time the American carriers " Stience " and " Nemitz "in the Gulf were preparing for military maneuvering before the coast of Iran . the admiral Kevin Quinn ; the leader of Stience said the new training aiming at the natural disasters and preparation for human interfering . He assured that these training maneuvers have nothing to do with any part in the area .

Within all tumult in the middle east , America looks like the trouble maker who searches for trouble anywhere ; when Washington thinks in building up missile shield project in Europe , which inspired the Russians to retort by launching multi – ballistic missile . As a matter of fact , nobody expected Russia to respond so quickly to the American attempts aiming at deploying its missile shields in the middle of Europe particularly in countries considered the back garden to Russia . the missile launched from east – north of an area called " Archangelsk " . It hit its target in a peninsula called " Akmtchanaka " inside the waters of the Pacific Ocean , 6 thousand km far . Many of the military experts believe that the missile which Russia launched entitled ( R . S – 24 ) would support and increase the strategic missile forces of Russia ; overcoming the anti – missile systems . It wasn't strange to do such missile experiments from the part of Russia together with the diplomatic campaign which Putin launched over the missile shield ; America tries to deploy in Europe . Russia looks at that as an attempt to eradicate its nuclear potentials and that would lead the nuclear balance in favor of America .Serge Evan of the first vice to the prime minister was supporting his president and described the American step as " playing with fire " , when this experiment succeeds , he assured that these missiles can overcome all the anti – missile systems in the world . they are supplied with high – tech ability to penetrate all the missile systems . So , the Russians can look ahead to their future quietly and without any feeling of menace .

It is known that the US planned to construct a Radar Base in Ctchek and to pose ten of anti – missile systems in Poland ; claiming that this procedure will contribute in protecting Europe in case exposing to a missile attack from Iran or North Korea . Washington avowed that this doesn't make any threat to Russia . Putin replied that his country would freeze the terms of traditional weapons in Europe and if the US goes on their plans , that will push all to enter the race of the armament anew . the experts describe the circumstances which surround the relationship between America and Russia as a return to the atmosphere of the cold war which prevailed between the ex – Soviet Union and the US .. It is noticed that the Russians consider the American military plans in Europe are provoking ; no necessity for them . From their part they were careful not to provoke anybody with their new missiles which were capable of crossing out all the missile systems ; when they assured that missiles ( R – S 24 ) match with the conditions of Treaty ( Staret – 2 ) signed with America .

The Russians described their new missile as " genius " using very advanced hi – tech which the missile " Tobol – m " are provided with . Yet the advantage of the new missile is that it is supplied with multi – heads working separately to hit a cluster of targets in the same time . therefore they can crush any hostile systems efficiently . that made the strategic missiles forces adopt a plan to substitute the old strategic missile model ( R – S 18 ) and ( R – S 20 ) which are now on duty . the experts think that the political goal is to restore the equilibrium and efficacy with the US ; that would happen in favor of Washington if the missiles were employed in the middle of Europe . Bush said in Washington before going to the Octavete Conference in Germany on June 2007 . He was worried about the democracy in Europe . He refused the criticism done by Russia concerning the American schedule to construct a shield against missiles in Poland and Ctchek . It was as if coming back again to Cold War . the same words used by Rebort Getis and caused a crisis between Russia and America. Bush renewed his belief that this American shield doesn’t form any menace to Russia . He said he wanted this shield to protect the free countries and democracy from the Rogue countries , and Russia isn't a rogue one so , there is no need to be worried . He said he was afraid of any Iranian missile to hit Europe or any allied countries . He asked the Russian cooperation and to send their scientists to check how the system works . Yet Bush criticized badly the position of democracy in Russia and China as the reforms in Russia got out of its right path ; whereas China still resists the political opening .He demanded some countries to set free the dissents immediately , such as Mien mar , Bella Russia ,Cuba Vietnam and Egypt .

The puzzling question which poses itself is that what gave the US the right to evaluate the democratic situations in the world ? If Washington interferes provokingly and illegally in the route of the democratic modification in the Arab countries ; being weak comparatively . How do they give themselves to inspect the democratic positions in a super country like Russia ? . the answer implied in the absolute ruling mentality which controlled the American political mind long ago .; resembling themselves as God Almighty ; where His will is irrevocable . So, all the world should look at the US divinely because it is the source of the values and goodness . On the height of this the US doesn't care with anything except their interests , requirements and desires which they want to impose on all the nations and peoples who have to carry out the American interests and to respect their style of life which is based on the exceeding consumption . That what interprets why the Americans are pleased to consume all the resources of the world .

For example ,when the Kiyoto accord is consummated ; to adjust the world atmosphere and ban pollution . America can easily withdraw after the accord was endorsed . but later they may accept it . Another example ; if the International Criminal Tribunal ; -- that was found recently – America doesn't approve for the American citizens to be verdict if they commit war crimes . Moreover , they give the American farmers support contrarily to the rules of the International Trade organization . Since America is the world and the world is America ; consequently they could form the world economy to enrich themselves regularly and submit the non western societies to poverty . The slogan of the freedom of markets means simply the freedom of the transportation of the American funds , articles and services from America to the rest of the world . We can say that the American globalizing extension is bored with the cultural space for the non – American societies including Europe . That will lead to reduce the chances before boosting the various world cultures .

There is another American influencing sovereignty in the domain of defining the principles , phenomena and events . the US gives itself the absolute right to be the only reference in definition . It defines what democracy is .what is justice ? what is freedom ? what are the human rights ? and all the things which formulate the human life in any community . they coined their special definitions to fundamentalism and terrorism , and the good and the evil . All the countries including Europe have to submit to these definitions and to accept and adopt them willingly . The Us thinks they have the right – in the field of terrorism – for instance ; to differ between what they call the Islamic terrorism and the people who commit it -- to submit to extremely cruel treatment , although that is against the International Law and the Criminal Law ; as in the case of the detainees in " Jewantanamo " and between the American terrorists like " Timothy Mackfi" who exploded the Federal Building in Atlanta ; Yet he got a fair judgment . the same criteria can be implied on the press freedom . The Us attacks the countries which they don't have interests with, whereas they skip over and discard countries ; even they violate openly the human rights as long as they have strategic interests with them .

I wish the Arabs could play a role in the internal arena , but the Arabic diplomacy is distinguished by negativity , persuading the International Society to take decisions discarding the Arabic interests ; not caring whether they cope with the international legislation or not . most of the steps and the diplomatic conventions done and the Arabic delegations roam all over the world , from New York to Belgium with the claim of marketing the Arabic negotiations ; to our disappointment ; as if they performed an absurd play . Everybody , in advance , know , it won't do any good . It is just a move in the place , and turned out to be headlines in the newspapers and satellite stations .